Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Bahia |
| 60.28% | 23.08% | 16.64% |
| Both teams to score 45.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% | 52.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% | 74.44% |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% | 17.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.58% | 47.42% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.04% | 44.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.1% | 80.9% |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Mineiro 60.28%
Bahia 16.64%
Draw 23.07%
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% 2-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.25% 5-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.54% Total : 60.28% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.64% |
How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia
Atletico Mineiro
84.0%Draw
16.0%Bahia
0.0%25


