Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Bahia win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
| 19.85% | 21.56% | 58.58% |
| Both teams to score 56.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.37% | 41.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.97% | 64.03% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% | 34.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.58% | 71.41% |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% | 13.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.64% | 41.35% |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 19.85%
Flamengo 58.58%
Draw 21.55%
| Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
| 2-1 @ 5.34% 1-0 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 2.71% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.85% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 5.26% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.52% 0-2 @ 9.39% 1-3 @ 6.54% 0-3 @ 6.17% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 3.22% 0-4 @ 3.04% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.27% 0-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.13% Total : 58.58% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Flamengo
Bahia
21.6%Draw
10.8%Flamengo
67.6%37


