Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 35.19%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sport Recife | Draw | Fluminense |
| 34.85% | 29.95% | 35.19% |
| Both teams to score 42.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.04% | 64.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.14% | 83.86% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% | 35.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% | 71.85% |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% | 34.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% | 71.61% |
| Score Analysis |
Sport Recife 34.85%
Fluminense 35.18%
Draw 29.95%
| Sport Recife | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.16% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.24% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.95% | 0-1 @ 12.89% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.18% |
How you voted: Sport vs Fluminense
Sport Recife
20.8%Draw
29.2%Fluminense
50.0%24


