Brasileiro | Gameweek 22

Sep 25, 2021 at 9pm UK

Castelao

Ceara
1 - 0
Chapecoense

Jael (53' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ribeiro (34'), Jordan (44'), Lima (56')
Jordan (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Chapecoense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Chapecoense
50.85%	26.34%	22.81%

Both teams to score 45.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46%

57.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67%

78.33%

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27%

22.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59%

56.41%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.21%

40.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.63%

77.37%

Score Analysis

Ceara 50.84%

Chapecoense 22.81%

Draw 26.33%

Ceara	Draw	Chapecoense
1-0 @ 13.73% 2-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.84%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.81%

Ceara1 - 0Chapecoense

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Ceara
1 - 0
Chapecoense