Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Oct 25, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Pituacu
Chapecoense

Bahia
3 - 0
Chapecoense

Gilberto (2'), Nascimento de Oliveira (20'), Nascimento (20'), Otavio (52', 52')
Nascimento de Oliveira (46'), Nascimento (46')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kaio (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Chapecoense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawChapecoense
53.56%25%21.44%
Both teams to score 47.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03%53.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59%75.41%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87%20.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6%52.4%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88%40.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24%76.76%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 53.54%
    Chapecoense 21.44%
    Draw 25%
BahiaDrawChapecoense
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 53.54%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.38%
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.44%

How you voted: Bahia vs Chapecoense

Bahia
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Chapecoense
0.0%
10
rhs 2.0


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