Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
