Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Dec 2, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu
Atletico Mineiro

Bahia
2 - 3
Atletico Mineiro

Otavio (62'), Gilberto (66')
Mugni (34'), Danielzinho (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hulk (73' pen.), Keno (74', 77')
Arana (45'), Sasha (80'), Nathan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawAtletico Mineiro
29.56%27.48%42.95%
Both teams to score 47.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.43%57.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.65%78.35%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03%34.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28%71.71%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46%26.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25%61.74%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 29.56%
    Atletico Mineiro 42.95%
    Draw 27.48%
BahiaDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 6.8%
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 29.56%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 12.31%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 8.17%
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.95%

How you voted: Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro

Bahia
29.7%
Draw
13.5%
Atletico Mineiro
56.8%
37
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!