Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	River Plate
19.68%	22.94%	57.38%

Both teams to score 51.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09%

47.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91%

70.09%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5%

38.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.76%

75.25%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56%

16.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.87%

46.13%

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 19.68%

River Plate 57.37%

Draw 22.93%

San Lorenzo	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 6.04% 2-1 @ 5.21% 2-0 @ 2.88% 3-1 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.48% Total : 19.68%	1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 1% Total : 22.93%	0-1 @ 11.42% 0-2 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 5.93% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-4 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-5 @ 1.01% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.1% Total : 57.37%

Head to Head

Oct 18, 2021 12.15am

River Plate

3-1

San Lorenzo

Alvarez (31', 65', 85')
Pena Biafore (37')

Fernandez (22')
Rosane (13'), Peruzzi (36'), Palacios (80')

Apr 25, 2021 10pm

River Plate

1-2

San Lorenzo

Fernandez (16'), Elias (52'), Girotti (75')
Palavecino (4'), Romero (30'), Borre (32'), De La Cruz (67'), Peruzzi (81'), Ramirez (82'), Carrascal (82'), Elias (90+6')

Dec 9, 2019 12.45am

River Plate

0-1

San Lorenzo

Borre (22'), Suarez (57'), Martinez (74'), Scocco (77')
Palacios (78'), De La Cruz (86')

Gaich (16')
Rodriguez (22'), Coloccini (26'), Herrera (54'), Ramirez (56'), Romero (77'), Pitton (83'), Menossi (94')

Sep 2, 2018 12am

San Lorenzo

1-1

River Plate

Blandi (76')
Poblete (33'), Pereyra (73'), Reniero (73'), Merlini (81')
Reniero (88')

Quintero (40')
Pratto (34')