Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.