Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Dec 6, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Defensa y Justicia

River Plate
2 - 3
Defensa

Jeremias Fernandez (10'), Romero (74')
Martinez (67'), Jeremias Fernandez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bou (64'), Merentiel (73'), Paredes (87')
Loaiza (90+2'), Frias (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawDefensa y Justicia
67.85%19.31%12.85%
Both teams to score 47.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3%44.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94%67.07%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.84%12.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.21%37.79%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.56%45.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.72%81.29%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 67.84%
    Defensa y Justicia 12.85%
    Draw 19.31%
River PlateDrawDefensa y Justicia
2-0 @ 12.26%
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 6.8%
4-0 @ 4.54%
4-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.68%
5-0 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 67.84%
1-1 @ 9.18%
0-0 @ 5.53%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.31%
0-1 @ 4.36%
1-2 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 12.85%