Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Apr 2, 2022 at 11pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 2River Plate
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | River Plate |
| 27.58% | 25.47% | 46.94% |
| Both teams to score 52.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
