Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.