Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Defensa y Justicia

Newell's OB
1 - 0
Defensa

Gonzalez (59')
Perez (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pizzini (51')
Colombo (21')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawDefensa y Justicia
43.79%26.99%29.23%
Both teams to score 49.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13%55.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02%76.98%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67%25.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88%60.12%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68%34.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97%71.03%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 43.78%
    Defensa y Justicia 29.23%
    Draw 26.98%
Newell's Old BoysDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.93%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.7%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.23%

rhs 2.0


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