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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
4 - 0
Colo-Colo

Palavecino (42'), de la Cruz (52'), Martinez (66'), Barco (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Opazo (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Colo-Colo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Colo-Colo

Last Six:
    Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
    Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
    Next Game: Colo-Colo vs. Internacional
    Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

    The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

    Result
    River PlateDrawColo-Colo
    46.28% (0.515 0.52)25.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)28.52% (-0.577 -0.58)
    Both teams to score 54.1% (-0.55 -0.55)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    50.9% (-0.55 -0.55)49.1% (0.54199999999999 0.54)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    28.83% (-0.499 -0.5)71.17% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
    River Plate Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    78.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.23% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    45.86% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.14% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
    Colo-Colo Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    68.69% (-0.70400000000001 -0.7)31.31% (0.698 0.7)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    32.33% (-0.825 -0.82)67.67% (0.818 0.82)
    Score Analysis
        River Plate 46.27%
        Colo-Colo 28.52%
        Draw 25.2%
    River PlateDrawColo-Colo
    1-0 @ 10.3% (0.23 0.23)
    2-1 @ 9.27% (0.032 0.03)
    2-0 @ 7.98% (0.179 0.18)
    3-1 @ 4.79% (0.017 0.02)
    3-0 @ 4.12% (0.093 0.09)
    3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
    4-1 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
    4-0 @ 1.6% (0.036 0.04)
    4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
    Other @ 2.5%
    Total : 46.27%
    		1-1 @ 11.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
    0-0 @ 6.65% (0.147 0.15)
    2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.086 -0.09)
    3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.038 -0.04)
    Other @ 0.13%
    Total : 25.2%
    		0-1 @ 7.72% (0.023 0.02)
    1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.112 -0.11)
    0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.074 -0.07)
    1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.097 -0.1)
    2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.075 -0.07)
    0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
    Other @ 2.87%
    Total : 28.52%

    How you voted: River Plate vs Colo-Colo

    River Plate
    87.0%
    Draw
    13.0%
    Colo-Colo
    0.0%
    23
    Head to Head
    Apr 28, 2022 1am
    Colo-Colo
    1-2
    River Plate
    Martin Lucero (90+2')
    Fuentes (62'), Costa (82')
    Suarez (82'), Barco (89')
    Casco (19'), Perez (57'), Barco (80')