Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 6, 2022 at 3am UK

Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima
1 - 1
Colo-Colo

Alexander Aguirre Vazquez (46'), Aguirre (46')
Ramos (33'), Vilchez (43'), Lavandeira (72'), Angel Cornejo Loli (79'), Cornejo (79'), Barcos (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martin Lucero (22')
Pavez (55'), Opazo (57'), Falcon (61')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Colo-Colo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

Last Game: River Plate 8-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Colo-Colo vs. Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Alianza Lima	Draw	Colo-Colo
37.09%	24.64%	38.27%

Both teams to score 59.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06%

43.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.67%

66.33%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56%

23.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.56%

57.44%

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18%

22.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46%

56.53%

Score Analysis

Alianza Lima 37.09%

Colo-Colo 38.27%

Draw 24.63%

Alianza Lima	Draw	Colo-Colo
2-1 @ 8.32% 1-0 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.09%	1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 8.47% 0-1 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.27%