Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.