Coritiba
3 - 2
Fluminense

Gamalho (53' pen., 90+4'), Andrey (61')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ganso (19', 36')
Ganso (35'), Andre (47'), Duarte (69')
Andre (51')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 42.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Fluminense
42.67%	28.74%	28.58%

Both teams to score 43.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.77%

62.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.1%

81.9%

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1%

28.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22%

64.77%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.72%

38.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.96%

75.03%

Score Analysis

Coritiba 42.67%

Fluminense 28.58%

Draw 28.73%

Coritiba	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.73% 2-0 @ 8.52% 2-1 @ 8.19% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.67%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.73%	0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.61% Total : 28.58%