Brasileiro | Gameweek 10

Jun 10, 2022 at 12am UK

Estádio Couto Pereira

Coritiba
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Manga (59')
Martinez (38'), Manga (45+3'), Paixao (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Calleri (4')
Diego (30'), Gomes (75'), Eder (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16
5	Sao Paulo	10	4	15
6	Coritiba	10	2	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Sao Paulo
34.74% ( -0.04)	27.99% ( -0.03)	37.27% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.74% (

0.09)

58.26% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.11% (

0.07)

78.89% (

-0.07)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

0.01)

31.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91% (

0.02)

68.09% (

-0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

0.08)

30.08% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

0.1)

66.21% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 34.74%

Sao Paulo 37.26%

Draw 27.98%

Coritiba	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.74%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.26%