Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Goianiense and Coritiba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Atletico Goianiense 0-3 Coritiba
Coritiba have hit a purple patch in front of goal recently and pair that up with the league's worst defence, then there is not really much of a comparison. With an attack led by Leo Gamalho, that should prove to be too strong for Goianiense, who will still be searching for that first league win of the season.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.