Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.