Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Regional Calvo y Bascuñán

Antofagasta
2 - 1
Atletico GO

Flores Abrigo (87' pen.), Flores (87' pen.), Lopez (90')
Collao (31'), Nieto (58'), Flores Abrigo (82'), Flores (82'), Ledesma (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Noga (45+2')
Edson (30'), Jorginho (82'), Ronaldo (85'), Menezes Roma (90+2'), Ramon (90+2')
Hayner (90+7')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Antofagasta and Atletico Goianiense.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Defensa 0-2 Antofagasta
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Avai
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.1%) and 2-3 (4.62%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
AntofagastaDrawAtletico Goianiense
37.23%21.5%41.27%
Both teams to score 71.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.9%28.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.14%48.86%
Antofagasta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68%16.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.09%45.9%
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25%14.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02%42.98%
Score Analysis
    Antofagasta 37.23%
    Atletico Goianiense 41.27%
    Draw 21.5%
AntofagastaDrawAtletico Goianiense
2-1 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 4.38%
1-0 @ 4.36%
2-0 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.98%
4-3 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 7.24%
3-3 @ 2.79%
0-0 @ 2.41%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 5.1%
2-3 @ 4.62%
0-1 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 4.41%
0-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 2.44%
2-4 @ 2.21%
0-4 @ 1.35%
3-4 @ 1.34%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 41.27%