Antofagasta
1 - 3
Defensa

Antonio Collao Ramos (83'), Collao (83')
Cornejo (8'), Robles (29'), Antonio Collao Ramos (79'), Collao (79'), Bravo (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bou (10'), Tripichio (29'), Merentiel (57')
Bou (43'), Albertengo (90+5')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Antofagasta and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antofagasta

Last Game: Defensa 0-2 Antofagasta
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Antofagasta	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
26.09%	23.73%	50.17%

Both teams to score 56.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59%

44.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.22%

66.78%

Antofagasta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3%

30.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04%

66.96%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22%

17.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51%

48.48%

Score Analysis

Antofagasta 26.09%

Defensa y Justicia 50.17%

Draw 23.73%

Antofagasta	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
2-1 @ 6.57% 1-0 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.09%	1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 9.61% 0-1 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 5.54% 0-3 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.67% Total : 50.17%