Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Regional Calvo y Bascuñán
Antofagasta1 - 3Defensa
Collao (83')
Cornejo (8'), Robles (29'), Collao (79'), Bravo (90+5')
Cornejo (8'), Robles (29'), Collao (79'), Bravo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Antofagasta and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antofagasta | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 26.09% | 23.73% | 50.17% |
| Both teams to score 56.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
