Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 13, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
4 - 0
Antofagasta

Angulo (47'), Cornejo (50' og.), Molina (77'), Stalin Arce Mina (90+2'), Arce (90+2')
Hoyos (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanchez (51'), Bravo (72'), Nieto (73')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Antofagasta.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Defensa 0-2 Antofagasta
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawAntofagasta
47.12%24.36%28.52%
Both teams to score 56.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.56%45.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22%67.77%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61%19.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8%51.2%
Antofagasta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58%65.42%
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 47.12%
    Antofagasta 28.52%
    Draw 24.36%
LDU QuitoDrawAntofagasta
2-1 @ 9.39%
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 47.12%
1-1 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7%
0-1 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 28.52%