Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 12, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
LDU Quito1 - 0Athletico PR
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.49%) and 3-2 (4.8%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 44.32% | 21.3% | 34.38% |
| Both teams to score 71.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
