Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 19, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada (Curitiba, Paraná)
Athletico PR4 - 2LDU Quito
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 51.04% | 25.17% | 23.79% |
| Both teams to score 50.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
