Athletico PR
4 - 2
LDU Quito

(Athletico Paranaense win 4-3 on aggregate)

Christian (26', 29'), Bissoli (62', 69' pen.)
Bissoli (47'), Erick (84')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Amarilla (11'), Julio (43')
Cruz (56'), Scotto (68'), Caicedo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	LDU Quito
51.04%	25.17%	23.79%

Both teams to score 50.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.61%

52.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92%

74.07%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46%

20.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96%

53.04%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03%

36.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.24%

73.76%

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 51.03%

LDU Quito 23.79%

Draw 25.16%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	LDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 5% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 51.03%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.55% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.79%