Atletico Mineiro
2 - 0
Athletico PR

Vargas (60' pen.), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (69')
Mariano (45'), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (67'), Vargas (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Heleno (59'), Christian (80'), Erick (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
57.35%	24.4%	18.26%

Both teams to score 44.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.58%

55.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38%

76.62%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79%

19.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1%

50.9%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.51%

44.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.48%

80.52%

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 57.34%

Athletico Paranaense 18.26%

Draw 24.39%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.1% 2-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 5.18% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.1% Other @ 3.75% Total : 57.34%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.92% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.63% Total : 18.26%