Athletico PR
4 - 1
America

(Athletico Paranaense win 5-1 on aggregate)

Vitinho (26', 72'), Nikao (79' pen.), Canesin (90+7')
Heleno (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramos (70' pen.)
Andrade (30'), Quinones (45+3'), Graterol (77')
Andrade (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and America de Cali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for America de Cali had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an America de Cali win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	America de Cali
58.37%	24.98%	16.64%

Both teams to score 40.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.5%

59.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.14%

79.85%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6%

20.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.17%

52.83%

America de Cali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.05%

48.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.08%

83.91%

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 58.36%

America de Cali 16.64%

Draw 24.98%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	America de Cali
1-0 @ 15.87% 2-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 4.78% 4-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.15% Total : 58.36%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 3.22% Other @ 0.44% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 4.05% 0-2 @ 2.55% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.95% Total : 16.64%