America
0 - 1
Athletico PR

(Athletico Paranaense win 5-1 on aggregate)

Urena (13')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nikao (73' pen.)
Cittadini (9'), Ivaldo (46'), Marcinho (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between America de Cali and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
America de Cali	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
32.69%	23.09%	44.22%

Both teams to score 63.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.59%

37.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.37%

59.63%

America de Cali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2%

22.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.49%

56.51%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.62%

17.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.21%

47.79%

Score Analysis

America de Cali 32.69%

Athletico Paranaense 44.22%

Draw 23.09%

America de Cali	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 5.86% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.69%	1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.09%	1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 5.23% 2-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.08% Total : 44.22%