Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 51.48% | 26.99% | 21.53% |
| Both teams to score 42.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.21% | 60.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% | 80.84% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% | 23.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.97% | 58.03% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.04% | 43.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.91% | 80.1% |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 51.47%
Athletico Paranaense 21.53%
Draw 26.98%
| Santos | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 15.02% 2-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 4.23% 4-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.35% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.51% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.53% |
How you voted: Santos vs Athletico PR
Santos
37.0%Draw
24.1%Athletico Paranaense
38.9%54


