LDU Quito
1 - 1
Mushuc Runa

(LDU Quito win 3-1 on aggregate)

Alvarado (27')
Piovi (31'), Lopez (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sebastian Alonso Pereda (64'), Alonso (64')
Quilumba (43'), Carabali (52'), Ezequiel Llama (87'), Llama (87')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between LDU Quito and Mushuc Runa.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Mushuc Runa

Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Mushuc Runa
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 51.42%. A win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Mushuc Runa win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Mushuc Runa
51.42%	22.45%	26.13%

Both teams to score 61.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.55%

38.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.26%

60.74%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.86%

15.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.29%

43.71%

Mushuc Runa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47%

27.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96%

63.04%

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 51.42%

Mushuc Runa 26.13%

Draw 22.44%

LDU Quito	Draw	Mushuc Runa
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 6.03% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.85% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.99% Total : 51.42%	1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 6.55% 0-1 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.49% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.13%