Copa Sudamericana
May 25, 2022 11.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Caio Matheus da Silva 72' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Toledo 19'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magallanes 35'
  • yellowcard Enmanuel Paucar 78'

Sao Paulo vs Ayacucho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 20, 2022 1.30am
Sao Paulo 3 - 0 Wilstermann

Ayacucho

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 18, 2022 11.15pm
Ayacucho 0 - 2 Everton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Ayacucho had a probability of 14.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Ayacucho win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result

Sao Paulo 62.66% (+0.20)
Draw 22.87% (+0.03)
Ayacucho 14.47% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.66% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.45% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 55.55% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 23.28% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 76.72% (+0.40)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 82.69% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 17.31% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 52.33% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 47.67% (+0.18)

Ayacucho Goals

Over 0.5 50.38% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 49.61% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 15.61% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 84.39% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 62.65%
Draw 22.86%
Ayacucho 14.47%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 15.06% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 13.2% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.72% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 62.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.59% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.86%
Ayacucho
0-1 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 14.47%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 8, 2022 1.30am
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
  • Eric Barrios 7' goal
  • Cristian Techera 20' goal
  • Juan Morales 56' yellowcard
  • Jose Guidino 68' yellowcard
  • Aldair Salazar 76' yellowcard
  • Aldair Salazar 88' redcard
  • Jorge Toledo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Hugo Magallanes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Arboleda 3'
  • goal Miranda 23'
  • goal Miranda 23'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 39'
  • yellowcard Luciano 50'
  • goal Luciano 88'