Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Ayacucho had a probability of 14.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Ayacucho win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Ayacucho
62.66% ( 0.2)	22.87% ( 0.03)	14.47% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 41.66% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.45% (

-0.49)

55.55% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.28% (

-0.4)

76.72% (

0.4)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69% (

-0.11)

17.31% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.33% (

-0.18)

47.67% (

0.18)

Ayacucho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.38% (

-0.63)

49.61% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.61% (

-0.45)

84.39% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 62.65%

Ayacucho 14.47%

Draw 22.86%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Ayacucho
1-0 @ 15.06% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 62.65%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 14.47%