Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Félix Capriles
Sao Paulo

Wilstermann
1 - 3
Sao Paulo

Osorio (31' pen.)
Robson (16'), Echeverria (36'), Osorio (45'), Ortiz (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gomes (23'), Reinaldo (64' pen.), Marquinhos (86')
Luan (45'), Gomes (87'), (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Jorge Wilstermann and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Wilstermann 0-2 Everton
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Jorge WilstermannDrawSao Paulo
37.63%26.44%35.92%
Both teams to score 52.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91%52.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19%73.81%
Jorge Wilstermann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1%26.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79%62.21%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11%27.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5%63.5%
Score Analysis
    Jorge Wilstermann 37.63%
    Sao Paulo 35.92%
    Draw 26.44%
Jorge WilstermannDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.63%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 35.92%

How you voted: Wilstermann vs Sao Paulo

Jorge Wilstermann
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sao Paulo
60.0%
5
rhs 2.0


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