MX23RW : Friday, March 29 11:59:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
America Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Independencia
Sao Paulo

America Mineiro
2 - 0
Sao Paulo

Ademir (58', 62')
Ricardo (28'), Silva (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diego (45+4'), Falcao (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: America Mineiro 1-0 Sao Paulo

By all accounts, America would consider their return to the top flight as a big success, and one reason has been their ability to take advantage of their home field, where they have only conceded once in their previous three encounters. Except for a 3-0 defeat to Gremio, Sao Paulo have been able to keep their road matches relatively close, but their attention seems to be placed solely on defending in those games while forgetting that you need to take a couple of chances moving forward to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawSao Paulo
49.21%26.04%24.75%
Both teams to score 48.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09%54.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8%76.2%
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65%22.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.16%55.84%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51%37.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72%74.27%
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 49.21%
    Sao Paulo 24.75%
    Draw 26.03%
America MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 49.21%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Sao Paulo

America Mineiro
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Sao Paulo
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
0-0
America Mineiro
Arboleda (44'), Miranda (50'), Reinaldo (75')
Zarate (65')
Sep 22, 2018 8pm
May 27, 2018 11pm
America Mineiro
1-3
Sao Paulo
Moura (12')
Silva (30'), Ferraz (45'), Giovanni (72'), Ademir (83')
Souza (8'), Nene (45' pen., 61')
Hudson (88'), Alves (89'), Militao (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR00000000
2Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO00000000
3Atletico Mineiro00000000
4Bahia00000000
5Botafogo00000000
6BragantinoBragantino00000000
7Corinthians00000000
8CriciumaCriciuma00000000
9Cruzeiro00000000
10Cuiaba00000000
11FlamengoFlamengo00000000
12Fluminense00000000
13FortalezaFortaleza00000000
14Gremio00000000
15InternacionalInternacional00000000
16JuventudeJuventude00000000
17PalmeirasPalmeiras00000000
18Sao Paulo00000000
19Vasco da GamaVasco00000000
20Vitoria00000000


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