America Mineiro
2 - 0
Sao Paulo

Ademir (58', 62')
Ricardo (28'), Silva (45+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diego (45+4'), Falcao Moreira de Lima (79'), Falcao (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
49.21%	26.04%	24.75%

Both teams to score 48.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.09%

54.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.8%

76.2%

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65%

22.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.16%

55.84%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.51%

37.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72%

74.27%

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 49.21%

Sao Paulo 24.75%

Draw 26.03%

America Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.55% 2-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 9.23% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.21%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.75%