Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 45.21% | 26.64% | 28.15% |
| Both teams to score 49.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.93% | 55.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% | 76.33% |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% | 24.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.36% | 58.64% |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% | 34.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% | 71.46% |
| Score Analysis |
Fluminense 45.2%
America Mineiro 28.15%
Draw 26.64%
| Fluminense | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.55% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.16% Total : 28.15% |


