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Jonathan Calleri
50'
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Gabriel Sara
81'
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Gustavo Oliveira
41'
Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.39%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result
Sao Paulo
60.85%
Draw
24.24%
Sport Recife
14.91%
Both Teams to Score:
39.19%
Goals
Over 2.5
40.51%
Under 2.5
59.49%
Over 3.5
20.15%
Under 3.5
79.85%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
80.56%
Under 0.5
19.44%
Over 1.5
48.72%
Under 1.5
51.28%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5
48.65%
Under 0.5
51.35%
Over 1.5
14.42%
Under 1.5
85.58%
Score analysis
Sao Paulo
60.85%
Draw
24.23%
Sport Recife
14.91%
Sao Paulo
1-0
@
16.35%
2-0 @ 13.39%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 4.87%
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 60.85%
2-0 @ 13.39%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 4.87%
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 60.85%
Draw
1-1
@
10.89%
0-0 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 2.97%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 24.23%
0-0 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 2.97%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 24.23%
Sport Recife
0-1
@
6.65%
1-2 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 14.91%
1-2 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 14.91%
Claudio Winck
90'