Brasileiro | Gameweek 36
Nov 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Sao Paulo2 - 0Sport
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.39%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 60.85% | 24.24% | 14.91% |
| Both teams to score 39.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% | 59.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% | 79.85% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% | 19.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% | 51.28% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.65% | 51.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.42% | 85.58% |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 60.85%
Sport Recife 14.91%
Draw 24.23%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 16.35% 2-0 @ 13.39% 2-1 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 4.87% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.41% Total : 60.85% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 2.97% Other @ 0.39% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.65% 1-2 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 2.22% Other @ 2.41% Total : 14.91% |


