Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Nov 7, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu
Sao Paulo

Bahia
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Rossi (77')
de Lucca (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rigoni (43'), Liziero (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawSao Paulo
38.53%26.97%34.5%
Both teams to score 50.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62%54.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24%75.76%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54%27.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04%62.96%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11%29.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01%65.99%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 38.52%
    Sao Paulo 34.5%
    Draw 26.97%
BahiaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.52%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.91%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.5%

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