Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 53.42% | 26.03% | 20.54% |
| Both teams to score 43.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.44% | 58.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.87% | 79.13% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% | 22.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% | 55.38% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.28% | 43.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.11% | 79.89% |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 53.41%
Athletico Paranaense 20.54%
Draw 26.03%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 14.57% 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 4.6% 4-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.41% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.04% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.54% |
How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Athletico PR
Sao Paulo
73.3%Draw
20.0%Athletico Paranaense
6.7%15


