Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.