Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 52.52% | 26.42% | 21.07% |
| Both teams to score 43.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.65% | 59.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.26% | 79.74% |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% | 22.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% | 56.46% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.38% | 43.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.19% | 79.81% |
| Score Analysis |
Bragantino 52.51%
Athletico Paranaense 21.07%
Draw 26.42%
| Bragantino | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 14.69% 2-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.45% 4-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.51% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.04% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.07% |


