Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Final
Nov 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Bragantino

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Bragantino

Nikao (29')
Cittadini (38'), Vinicius (45'), Erick (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bruno (16'), Silva (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBragantino
41.49%25.16%33.34%
Both teams to score 56.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05%46.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81%69.19%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46%22.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88%56.11%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67%62.33%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 41.49%
    Bragantino 33.34%
    Draw 25.15%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.34%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bragantino

Athletico Paranaense
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bragantino
20.0%
10