Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 45.51% | 25.95% | 28.54% |
| Both teams to score 51.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% | 52.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% | 73.88% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% | 22.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% | 56.62% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% | 32.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% | 69.47% |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 45.5%
Sao Paulo 28.55%
Draw 25.95%
| Gremio | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.52% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.55% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Sao Paulo
Gremio
41.0%Draw
25.6%Sao Paulo
33.3%39


