Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 

Guabira
3 - 0
Wilstermann

Mina (20', 50'), Figueroa Prado (90+3'), Figueroa (90+3')
Robles (55'), Figueroa Prado (86'), Figueroa (86'), Amarilla (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Villarroel (50')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guabira and Jorge Wilstermann.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guabira

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Last Game: Guabira 3-0 Wilstermann
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Jorge Wilstermann

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Last Game: Wilstermann 0-2 Everton
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guabira would win this match.

Result
GuabiraDrawJorge Wilstermann
43.48%24.2%32.32%
Both teams to score 59.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13%42.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73%65.27%
Guabira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1%19.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.97%52.03%
Jorge Wilstermann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36%25.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47%60.53%
Score Analysis
    Guabira 43.48%
    Jorge Wilstermann 32.32%
    Draw 24.2%
GuabiraDrawJorge Wilstermann
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 43.48%
1-1 @ 11.21%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-1 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.32%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 12.30am
Wilstermann
4-0
Guabira
Sanguinetti (24'), Chavez (38'), Serginho (54' pen.), Vargas (90+1')
Serginho (79')

Robles (57')