Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.47%) and 1-3 (4.9%). The likeliest Guabira win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.