Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
3 - 0
Wilstermann

Nestor (6', 17'), Patrick (47')
Welington (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perez (21')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sao Paulo and Jorge Wilstermann.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Jorge Wilstermann

Last Six:
    Last Game: Wilstermann 0-2 Everton
    Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 13.87%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.3%), while for a Jorge Wilstermann win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

    Result
    Sao PauloDrawJorge Wilstermann
    60.49% (0.16399999999999 0.16)25.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.87% (-0.16 -0.16)
    Both teams to score 34.14% (-0.293 -0.29)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    34.92% (-0.198 -0.2)65.08% (0.2 0.2)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    16.05% (-0.139 -0.14)83.95% (0.139 0.14)
    Sao Paulo Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    78.16% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.84% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    44.93% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)55.07% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
    Jorge Wilstermann Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    43.69% (-0.366 -0.37)56.31% (0.367 0.37)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    11.35% (-0.212 -0.21)88.65% (0.212 0.21)
    Score Analysis
        Sao Paulo 60.49%
        Jorge Wilstermann 13.87%
        Draw 25.63%
    Sao PauloDrawJorge Wilstermann
    1-0 @ 18.71% (0.13 0.13)
    2-0 @ 14.23% (0.09 0.09)
    2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.041 -0.04)
    3-0 @ 7.22% (0.041 0.04)
    3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
    4-0 @ 2.75% (0.014 0.01)
    4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
    3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
    Other @ 2.5%
    Total : 60.49%
    		0-0 @ 12.3% (0.09 0.09)
    1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
    2-2 @ 2.35% (-0.038 -0.04)
    Other @ 0.24%
    Total : 25.63%
    		0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.028 -0.03)
    1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.049 -0.05)
    0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
    Other @ 1.7%
    Total : 13.87%

    Head to Head
    Apr 28, 2022 11.15pm
    Wilstermann
    1-3
    Sao Paulo
    Osorio (31' pen.)
    Robson (16'), Echeverria (36'), Osorio (45'), Ortiz (59')
    Gomes (23'), Reinaldo (64' pen.), Marquinhos (86')
    Luan (45'), Gomes (87'), (90+3')