Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jun 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
America Mineiro

Patrick (34')
Nestor (53'), Miranda (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Almeida (76'), (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16
6	Sao Paulo	10	4	15
7	Coritiba	10	2	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 11.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 3-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	America Mineiro
68.46% ( -0.23)	20.31% ( 0.38)	11.22% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 40.08% (

-1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.4% (

-1.8)

52.61% (

1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.74% (

-1.57)

74.26% (

1.57)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.6% (

-0.64)

14.4% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.7% (

-1.25)

42.3% (

1.25)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.82% (

-1.39)

53.18% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.24% (

-0.9)

86.76% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 68.45%

America Mineiro 11.22%

Draw 20.32%

Sao Paulo	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 14.83% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.96% Total : 68.45%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.32%	0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.22%