Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for America Mineiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for America Mineiro.