MX23RW : Thursday, June 30 23:58:05| >> :600:209553:209553:
May 26, 2022 at 1am UK at Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
Independiente
3 - 0
America Mineiro
Sornoza (17'), Gaibor (43'), Chavez (74')
Gaibor (68'), Perlaza (68'), Chavez (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Almeida (68'), Eder (70'), Alberto (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Independiente del Valle and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Independiente 3-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Independiente vs. Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Independiente del Valle 2-1 America Mineiro

The hosts have already exhibited their supremacy over the away side once, and we are backing them to do it again, albeit by a much narrower margin this time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 43.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 28.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawAmerica Mineiro
43.6% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 28.24% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 28.15% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 44.96% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.24% (0.137 0.14)60.76% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.19% (0.102 0.1)80.81% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.049999999999997 0.05)27.69% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (0.067999999999998 0.07)63.24% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (0.119 0.12)37.81% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (0.117 0.12)74.59% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 43.6%
    America Mineiro 28.15%
    Draw 28.23%
Independiente del ValleDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 43.6%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.47% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 28.15%

How you voted: Independiente vs America Mineiro

Independiente del Valle
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
America Mineiro
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 11pm
America Mineiro
0-2
Independiente

Kal (21'), Everaldo (28'), Paulinho (45+2'), Egea (56'), Matheusinho (89')
Sornoza (12'), Arce (90+5')
Ayovi (39'), Ramirez (45+2'), Previtali (49'), Faravelli (69'), Schunke (74')

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