Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 27, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos

Independiente
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Sornoza (50')
Pellerano (21'), Carabajal (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hulk (7')
Rodrigues de Souza (52')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente del Valle and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

Last Game: Independiente 3-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Independiente vs. Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Sao Paulo	10	5	17
4	Atletico Mineiro	10	3	16
5	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Independiente del Valle	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
24.64%	25.81%	49.55%

Both teams to score 49.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.85%

54.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43%

75.57%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.82%

37.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.04%

73.96%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11%

21.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86%

55.14%

Score Analysis

Independiente del Valle 24.64%

Atletico Mineiro 49.55%

Draw 25.81%

Independiente del Valle	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 8.05% 2-1 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.64%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 12.36% 0-2 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.12% Total : 49.55%