Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 7, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Tolima
0 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

David Rios (14'), Caicedo (83'), Rovira (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Fernandez (45+1', 45'), Tche (80')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Palmeiras	9	8	16
3	Atletico Mineiro	10	3	16
4	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Deportes Tolima	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
25.5%	25.8%	48.7%

Both teams to score 49.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.53%

53.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25%

74.99%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.95%

36.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.17%

72.83%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02%

21.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.72%

55.27%

Score Analysis

Deportes Tolima 25.5%

Atletico Mineiro 48.7%

Draw 25.79%

Deportes Tolima	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 8.08% 2-1 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.5%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 9.09% 1-3 @ 4.69% 0-3 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.7%