Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Emelec

Tolima
1 - 1
Emelec

Mosquera (22' pen.)
Campaz (12'), Campaz (13'), Balanta (45+1'), Narvaez (46'), David Rios (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zapata (41')
Arroyo (52'), Caicedo (68'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Emelec.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Deportes TolimaDrawEmelec
39.56%26.75%33.69%
Both teams to score 51.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41%53.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9%75.1%
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48%26.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28%61.72%
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98%30.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86%66.14%
Score Analysis
    Deportes Tolima 39.56%
    Emelec 33.69%
    Draw 26.74%
Deportes TolimaDrawEmelec
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.56%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 33.69%