Copa Sudamericana
May 8, 2021 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
  • Leandro Campaz 12' yellowcard
  • Leandro Campaz 13' yellowcard
  • Sergio Mosquera 22' goal
  • Leyvin Balanta 45'+1' yellowcard
  • John Narvaez 46' yellowcard
  • Juan David Rios 87' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Zapata 41'
  • yellowcard Dixon Arroyo 52'
  • yellowcard Romario Caicedo 68'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+4'

Deportes Tolima vs Emelec - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 29, 2021 1.30am
Tolima 1 - 1 Talleres

Emelec

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 29, 2021 1.30am
Emelec 3 - 0 Bragantino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Deportes Tolima 39.56%
Draw 26.75%
Emelec 33.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.43%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.41%
Under 2.5 53.59%
Over 3.5 24.9%
Under 3.5 75.1%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5 73.48%
Under 0.5 26.52%
Over 1.5 38.28%
Under 1.5 61.72%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5 69.98%
Under 0.5 30.01%
Over 1.5 33.86%
Under 1.5 66.14%

Score analysis

Deportes Tolima 39.56%
Draw 26.74%
Emelec 33.69%
Deportes Tolima
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.74%
Emelec
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.69%