Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
Bragantino2 - 1Tolima
Castrillon (10' og.), Ytalo (45'), Mosquera (90+4' pen.)
Balanta (11'), Helinho (28'), Estaban Trujillo Riascos (56'), Ryller (79'), David Rios (88'), Quinones (90+7')
Balanta (11'), Helinho (28'), Estaban Trujillo Riascos (56'), Ryller (79'), David Rios (88'), Quinones (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bragantino and Deportes Tolima.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
| 51.28% | 25.72% | 22.99% |
| Both teams to score 47.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
