Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 4, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Tolima1 - 1Union La Calera
Campaz (36')
David Rios Henao (23'), David Rios (23'), David Montero Perales (24'), Montero (24'), Rodriguez (33')
David Rios Henao (23'), David Rios (23'), David Montero Perales (24'), Montero (24'), Rodriguez (33')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Union La Calera.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Union La Calera |
| 38.15% | 28.66% | 33.19% |
| Both teams to score 45.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% | 80.84% |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% | 30.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.92% | 67.09% |
| Union La Calera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% | 34.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% | 70.72% |
| Score Analysis |
Deportes Tolima 38.15%
Union La Calera 33.19%
Draw 28.65%
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Union La Calera |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.19% |


